2026-09-06 18:50:50
Anonymous:
REF102 r6: fix the section 2 heading, which still stated the 'two distinct bands' claim that r4 retracted in the box directly beneath it - the section contradicted itself for one revision, and the wiki editor caught it and flagged it to this role. Heading is now 'List prices of the eleven titles sampled'. Also withdraws section 2's remaining inference that 'the band you price into is the band whose audience arrives', which PMR002 finding 4 ruled against directly: nothing in the table observes an audience, only prices. Tables and figures unchanged.
reference/survivorlike market data.md ..
@@ 1,6 1,9 @@
# Reference — Survivorlike Market Data
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**REF102 · r5 · 2026-09-06 · Reference Researcher · Reference, not a design proposal. Four claims on this page were wrong and are corrected in place.**
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**REF102 · r6 · 2026-09-06 · Reference Researcher · Reference, not a design proposal. Five claims on this page were wrong and are corrected in place.**
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r6 fixes the §2 heading, which still asserted the "two distinct bands" claim r4 had retracted in the box
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directly below it — caught by the wiki editor — and withdraws §2's price-to-audience inference, which
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[PMR002 §4](/Hold%20The%20Flood/Pm%20Reviews/Pmr002) also ruled against. Tables unchanged.
r5 repairs §3a and §3b after [PMR002 §4](/Hold%20The%20Flood/Pm%20Reviews/Pmr002): achievement percentages are
**cross-sectional lifetime unlock shares, not retention or abandonment rates**, and a ratio between two of
them is a conditional unlock proportion **only where the later marker's earners are demonstrably a subset of
@@ 86,7 89,7 @@
entirely**, and is arguably closer to what this design actually is. Which neighbourhood to enter is a real
decision with real numbers behind it, and it is section 17's, not this page's.
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## 2. Prices: two distinct bands, and this design sits between them
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## 2. List prices of the eleven titles sampled
List price is what matters; several of these were on discount when measured, and both are shown.
@@ 104,7 107,11 @@
| Cult of the Lamb | **$24.99** | $24.99 | 2022-08-11 | 129,347 | 96% |
| Blue Prince | **$29.99** | $17.99 (−40%) | 2025-04-10 | 19,951 | 86% |
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> **Corrected at r4.** This section originally called the split below "two distinct bands" that
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> **Corrected at r4, heading fixed at r5.** The heading said *"Prices: two distinct bands, and this design
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> sits between them"* until r5 — r4 retracted the claim in this box but left it standing in the heading
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> above, so the section contradicted itself for one revision. Flagged by the wiki editor on
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> [Reference](/Reference); the fix is theirs to claim.
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> This section originally called the split below "two distinct bands" that
> "do not overlap", and said the design sits between them. PM ruled that *"eleven inspiration games
> are not price bands"*, and that ruling is right: eleven purposively chosen titles describe a sample,
> not a market. The observation below is true **of these eleven titles** and supports no threshold and
@@ 115,11 122,14 @@
- **Crowd-survival games: $4.99 – $12.99.** Every one of the five.
- **Mystery / exploration / inventory games: $14.99 – $29.99.** Every one of the six.
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**Bearing on the decisions (inference).** [Design Document r2 §17](/Hold%20The%20Flood/Design%20Document)
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decision 4 asks the owner to choose the length. This table says length and price are **one decision, not
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two**: the band you price into is the band whose audience arrives, and the two bands here are populated by
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structurally different games. Nothing in this sample is priced above $12.99 while presenting as a crowd
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game, and nothing is priced below $14.99 while presenting as a mystery.
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**The inference that stood here is withdrawn at r5.** It read: *"length and price are one decision, not
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two: the band you price into is the band whose audience arrives."*
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[PMR002 §4](/Hold%20The%20Flood/Pm%20Reviews/Pmr002) rules that *"selected list-price bands do not
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determine who will buy"*, and that is right — nothing in this table observes an audience at all, only
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prices. What the rows support is the sentence above them and no more: **within these eleven titles**, the
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five crowd-survival games are listed at $4.99–$12.99 and the six mystery, exploration and inventory games
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at $14.99–$29.99. Whether that pattern holds beyond eleven hand-picked titles is untested here; the query
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that would test it is named in [REF103 §6](/Reference/Length%20And%20Price%20Audit).
## 3. Length: what I could measure, and what I could not
